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Bush Triangulates Himself
One possible explanation as to Bush's unwillingness to believe the truth about the condition of Iraq is because he is triangulating himself. A feat never before known to have successfully occurred!
Yes, I know it is unbelievable, but consider this. When one part of Bush wants to cut taxes and the other part wants to kill brown people, his cerebral cortex shunts synaptic impulses in a peculiar way and a new Bush policy is created! An example of this would be to "kill brown people with tax cuts" and Katrina is a product of such policy.
Iraq is no different. The combination of "prove Daddy wrong" and "pump up my oil portfolio" came out as "invade Iraq."